As it became known to the ABCD24, according to the American political scientist and philosopher Francis Fukuyama, Putin has suffered a complete political failure. He is sure that Moscow will pay dearly for the invasion of Ukraine.
According to ABCD24 journalists, F. Fukuyama gave an interview to the influential German newspaper Die Welt, in which he expressed confidence that Russia's war against Ukraine would not only change the world order, but would also become a real disaster for the Kremlin leader.
Here are some quotes from this interview. “The New World Order is taking shape. This is the result of many years of struggle of the camp of the democratic countries of the West against authoritarian regimes, primarily Russia and China.
This war is the culmination of this process. Russia is heading for defeat, having already suffered a series of setbacks on the battlefield, and will then be forced out of the Donbass by the Ukrainian army. This is Putin's catastrophic failure. Not only in war. This is a complete political failure."
Francis Fukuyama identified several key points that have influenced the current situation in the world as a result of the war unleashed by Putin in Ukraine.
- NATO will be expanded to include Sweden and Finland.
- The West has not been so united for a long time.
- Germany has redefined its Ostpolitik of the last 40 years.
- The United States has regained the leadership it lost under Trump.
- The West has accepted Ukraine as an ally and is providing massive assistance to it.
F. Fukuyama believes that it will be very difficult for Russia to get out of the abyss into which it has thrown itself. This country will become a pariah and be excluded from the international community like North Korea. Also, he noted that China could increase pressure to apply pressure on a weakened Russia, for example, in the Siberian region.
“I don't think the Chinese will do it by force of arms. They have other ways to get Russian resources, such as oil and gas. In addition, Russia, punished by sanctions, is already begging China to buy these products. Putin will definitely fall into China's sphere of influence.
However, in addition to similarities, there are differences in the behavior of China and Russia. I used to think that Russia would not want to use force, for example, like the Soviet Union in the Middle East.
But, Putin taught me differently. He used force and sent troops to Syria, Crimea, Donbass, and even sent them to Venezuela. And now he has invaded Ukraine. He recklessly took a big risk,” Fukuyama explained.
The American political scientist stressed that "the Chinese are not so dumb" and have great patience.
“They know that their economy and technology will make them stronger. Risky military adventurism is not in the style of China,” Fukuyama believes and emphasizes that the West should categorically not be dependent in the economy on authoritarian regimes, either on Russia or on China.”